Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 15.063288 17.101052 19.427988 22.307284 25.810152 29.980620 35.394155
2025-06-01 12.346201 14.857982 17.976689 22.217876 27.973524 35.730935 47.386923
2025-06-08 10.581013 13.197601 16.621374 21.573616 28.816390 39.494131 57.462494
2025-06-15 9.527676 12.229091 15.917681 21.535564 30.302521 44.320528 70.616353
2025-06-22 8.432087 11.038986 14.705969 20.500772 29.985475 46.119022 79.134973
2025-06-29 7.524503 10.003805 13.573793 19.384213 29.272441 46.990598 86.123665
2025-07-06 6.866426 9.258692 12.778465 18.667618 29.069653 48.682558 95.499227
2025-07-13 6.976910 9.644862 13.723978 20.900347 34.486960 62.759624 141.927952
2025-07-20 6.748800 9.489560 13.792610 21.635964 37.253874 72.279307 184.007665
2025-07-27 6.297934 8.947172 13.174271 21.049815 37.239131 75.357261 208.345161
2025-08-03 6.121588 8.824497 13.237874 21.725374 40.012106 86.378110 273.278393
2025-08-10 5.800455 8.441770 12.820565 21.421622 40.555068 91.655584 321.123453
2025-08-17 5.489346 8.068500 12.412491 21.137694 41.223965 98.027685 387.350992
2025-08-24 5.235143 7.773547 12.119420 21.054330 42.386775 106.615129 485.806102
2025-08-31 4.933853 7.377995 11.610412 20.455924 42.131737 110.462359 563.304687
2025-09-07 4.735422 7.145378 11.380080 20.420564 43.345985 120.244756 722.781604
2025-09-14 4.435097 6.718511 10.756572 19.458314 41.864028 119.175319 776.133090
2025-09-21 4.147580 6.300209 10.124050 18.418552 40.007480 116.023985 802.008041
2025-09-28 3.926356 5.988227 9.675033 17.750410 39.109217 116.643858 885.307878
2025-10-05 4.040950 6.276284 10.394846 19.830031 46.751003 160.343022 2091.959887
2025-10-12 3.987535 6.257348 10.511403 20.513857 50.375115 188.987819 3820.129893
2025-10-19 3.812320 6.005697 10.143200 19.969029 49.824087 193.825511 4809.544055
2025-10-26 3.762698 5.983620 10.239593 20.596928 53.477947 228.537911 10728.723787